Wednesday, May 15, 2013

HBS Cases: Sir Alex Ferguson--Managing Manchester United


07 NOV 2012  HBS CASES

HBS Cases: Sir Alex Ferguson--Managing Manchester United





For almost three decades, Sir Alex Ferguson has developed the Manchester United soccer club into one of the most recognized sports brands in the world. Professor Anita Elberse discusses the keys to Sir Alex's long-time success.
 
Anita Elberse, a Professor of Business Administration in the Marketing unit at Harvard Business School, studies high performers in creative industries—from basketball superstar LeBron James to pop diva Lady Gaga, from actor Tom Cruise to tennis powerhouse Maria Sharapova.
Elberse's latest subject is a British soccer club manager who turns out to be as incredible a performer as any of the lot. For 26 years, Sir Alex Ferguson has kept his Manchester United soccer club either at or near the top of competition, both in England and internationally.
"There is no active coach in the highest echelons of the world of soccer—or, to my knowledge, in sports as a whole—who comes even close to such a lengthy tenure, let alone the number of titles and trophies he has accumulated," says Elberse, who recently authored a business case on Ferguson.
“I THINK HIS WILLINGNESS TO DEVELOP YOUNG TALENT LIES AT THE HEART OF HIS LONG-RUN SUCCESS”
Ferguson's career indeed is an impressive feat. Look around for leading executives in any industry who have managed to succeed with the same firm at the highest levels for nearly three decades. Ferguson's talents include deft management and motivation of some of the greatest (and most high-strung) athletes in the world, staying current on the latest training regimens and technology, and plotting strategy both for on-field play and organizational success.
Elberse first taught the case, Sir Alex Ferguson: Managing Manchester United, last month to students in her course "Strategic Marketing in Creative Industries," with Ferguson in the classroom. HBS Working Knowledge recently interviewed Elberse about the case, which is now publicly available.
The Ferguson case is part of Elberse's growing body of work on creative industries that include book publishing, film, music, television, video games, the performing arts, sports, and advertising. She has written dozens of cases on firms and businesses as varied as Hulu, Marvel Enterprises, New York's Marquee nightclub, The Metropolitan Opera, and the NFL.
Sean Silverthorne: What was the inspiration for this case and how did it come together?
Anita Elberse: I am particularly fascinated by companies and people in entertainment, media, and sports that have very strong track records over a long period of time. Sir Alex Ferguson is a manager who has been extraordinarily successful in a career that spans decades—he has been at his current club, Manchester United, for over a quarter of a century. Under his leadership, United has become one of the world's most successful franchises in all of sports. So when I learned through an industry contact that there might be an opportunity to write a case on Sir Alex, I jumped at the chance. I figured I would undoubtedly learn a great deal about what it takes to lead and manage a sports team, and that indeed proved to be the case.
Q: The case reads as if you were able to attend some matches in person and see Ferguson in action. If so, what was that experience like?
A: Yes, that's true. It is one of the sacrifices I make in the name of research! But in all seriousness, my coauthor Tom Dye (HBS MBA 2012) and I felt it was important to take our time and do this right.
Sir Alex FergusonI first met Sir Alex last fall during one of his trips to the US, and we soon made plans to visit him in Manchester twice: in March, to see him in action during the season, and in July during the summer break to allow ourselves more time to speak with him and learn about his approach to managing the club. The access we were given was truly remarkable. We got to see his approach to a game, observing him both at Carrington, the training ground, and at Old Trafford, the stadium. He personally gave us a tour of the training ground, and gave us access to parts of the stadium that are normally closed off to visitors. We had a chance to speak with a range of people he works with and values, from the club's CEO to his assistant coaches, the players and the youth team, to his long-time assistant, the kit manager, and even the ladies who take care of washing the team jerseys. All those experiences and interactions proved invaluable to understanding Sir Alex's day-to-day approach.
Q: A big part of Ferguson's story is his amazingly high and consistent performance over time-26 years. What are some of the key characteristics he demonstrates that account for these strings of successes?
A: I think his willingness to develop young talent lies at the heart of his long-run success. Sir Alex speaks of the difference between "building a team and building a club." When he started at United, he immediately set about revolutionizing the club's youth program. He also made it more visible in the organization: for instance, ensuring that academy players warmed up alongside senior players every day in order to foster a 'one club' attitude. And even early on, despite calls from many observers to play it safer ("You can't win anything with kids" is what a respected television commentator famously said at the time), he gave youth players a chance to win a place in the first team. Many of the players he developed—Ryan Giggs, David Beckham, Gary Neville, Paul Scholes—became true standouts in their generation, providing the club with a strong base on which to build.
Managing this process well over a long period unavoidably involves cutting older players who may no longer be right for the team, which can be taxing emotionally. "The hardest thing to do is to let go of a player who has been a great guy," Ferguson told me.
Many other factors contribute to his successes, too. One factor I am particularly impressed by is his ability to adapt to changing times. You have to realize that the world of soccer nowadays looks nothing like the one he started in as a coach at United 26 years ago. Sir Alex has embraced new technologies and new approaches, hiring sports scientists on his staff, and adopting new ways of measuring and improving the performances of players. That sounds straightforward, but if you have been as successful as he has, I can imagine it is very easy to get stuck in your ways.
Q: Like many managers, Ferguson must manage for the short term (in-game and game to game), intermediate term (for a season), and long term. What advice do you think he would give to other executives about how to balance those requirements?
A: You are absolutely right—there is a constant tradeoff between managing for the short and long run. I can't speak for Sir Alex, of course, but I think he would say that as a manager, you have to take calculated risks. Within a season, the trick is to think ahead. Here's how he described it to me: "I might rest key players for a game that is less important. There is a risk element in doing that, and it can backfire, but you have to accept that. You have to trust your squad."
When it comes to managing for success across different seasons, the importance of betting on youth—as I mentioned, one of the hallmarks of his approach—is critical. There is a great quote by Sir Alex in the case that is relevant here: "The first thought for 99 percent of newly appointed managers is to make sure they win—to survive. They bring experienced players in, often from their previous clubs. But I think it is important to build a structure for a football club—not just a football team. You need a foundation. And there is nothing better than seeing a young player make it to the first team."
Q: Manchester United has no lack of egos—so how does Ferguson earn respect from his players while at the same time driving them to success?
A: He is adamant that a manager should never lose control. There's a telling quote in the case in that regard: "You can't ever lose control—not when you are dealing with thirty top professionals who are all millionaires. And if anyone steps out of my control, that's them dead."
It may seem harsh to state it like this, but I think his clarity on this matter is what earns him the respect from his players, from the biggest stars to the up-and-coming young ones. They know he will not waver from doing what he feels is best for the team and the club.
Sir Alex is also a true master at motivating his players—he seemingly knows exactly what to say when, and understands what different players need. He holds everyone to the same high standards, but will tailor his approach to different personalities. "He knows how to look after people," is how the kit manager put it, and many people at the club spoke about the family atmosphere he creates. I think that allows players of all different backgrounds to thrive.
“SIR ALEX HIMSELF SEEMED PERFECTLY AT HOME IN OUR CLASSROOM”
Of course he earns respect with his tremendous knowledge of the game of soccer, too. The breadth and depth of his expertise is truly astounding. Over dinner one night in Manchester, I told him about a game I had seen live in the early 1990s in Italy—one between two Italian teams, AC Milan and Napoli. He could speak at length about how the teams played in that period, and could name nearly their entire lineups. And he prepares for everything, even his class visit, in great detail. I can imagine that, in turn, motivates his players to give it their all, too.
Q: How did the students react to him, and what was his reaction to the experience of visiting your classroom and participating in the case discussion?
A: Yes, that was quite a day! I taught the case in the first half of the class, and Sir Alex spoke and answered students' questions during the other half. There were so many guests in the classroom that they had to sit in the aisles and on the stairs—the room was completely packed. Sir Alex himself seemed perfectly at home in our classroom, and thoroughly enjoyed the experience. They lined up to engage with him after class as well, and he met with many students more informally later in the afternoon. You could tell he has a passion for teaching young people—that comes through in his work at Manchester United, and it was also very evident in the Harvard Business School classroom. It was a very exciting and special day for all of us. I hope to welcome him back next year!
Q: What are you working on next?
A: I am currently putting the finishing touches on my first book, which will be released in the fall of 2013. The book is about the entertainment industry—the idea is to explain how it works, why it works that way, and how the industry may change in the future.
In the meantime, I am working with Sir Alex on a Harvard Business Review article that describes his philosophy to building, leading, and managing teams. (I am pretty sure it will be necessary to visit a few more Manchester United matches to collect additional data). I am also hoping to complete a few other new cases in the entertainment, media, and sports sectors. It's such a fascinating field—I am not running out of ideas anytime soon.
And I'm busy with the launch of a new executive education program, aptly called "Strategic Marketing in Entertainment, Media, and Sports" in early June 2013, that promises to be an exciting new way to disseminate the School's latest, groundbreaking research to executives in these sectors. 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Sean Silverthorne is Editor-in-Chief of Harvard Business School Working Knowledge.


COMMENTS

    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    Sir Alex Ferguson is a legend, and a true leader. What he has accomplished with Man U (and earlier with Aberdeen) is amazing. Very deserving of an HBS case!
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    So interesting to learn about his approach! Very cool to have an inside look. Wish I had been in that class...
     
     
     
    • ABHINAV CHARAN
    •  
    • LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM, CENTRICA/DIRECT ENERGY
    As an ardent Manchester United and Sir Alex follower, I see strong parallels between the way Sir Alex manages his boys and the way the Red Arrows from the Royal Air Force manage theirs. They both produce leaders who never become larger than their organisations, and if you do, you face exit (e.g. David Beckham). This is in stark contrast with the England football team which has produced dozens of poster boys (few of whom are from Manchester United) without yielding much result. The last major English victory was their maiden World Cup win in 1966. The militaristic discipline, the knowledge of the game and deference to his leadership should keep Sir Alex's makes him stand out. Whilst these qualities are seemingly easy to spell, they must surely be very hard to implement. Great article! Thanks
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    Sir Alex Fergason is a true soccer hero and we can draw sound lessons from him. I hope he will one day be able to transfer his skills to the next leader who will be taking over from him. His dedication and passion, involvement , commitment, consistancy amaze me. If all business would learn from him the would would be interesting. To Sean Silverstorne this a fantastic piece good read..thanks
     
     
     
    • JOHN WHATMORE
    •  
    • DIRECTOR, CENTRE FOR LEADERSHIP IN CREATIVITY
    You might want to read my book of nearly fifteen years ago about a study I did for the UK government of leaders of creative groups: 'Releasing Creativity: how leaders develop creative potential in their teams'. It was a scientific study of about forty leaders in science, R&D, sport, the performing arts and the graphic arts. Though out of print, I think you will find one on Amazon. John Whatmore
     
     
     
    • PAT
    •  
    • STUDENT
    Pep Guardiola has won 14 titles in 4 years which almost equals Ferguson's titles in 25 years and has beat Sir Alex in two champions League finals with Barcelona. 2009 and 2011
     
     
     
    • JACK SLAVINSKI
    •  
    Great example of the difference that a person can make on a continuum if they are open to and focused on continued personal reinvention, transformation and growth.
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    Anyone with half a brain cell could have won 14 titles in 4 years with Messi, Iniesta and Xavi in their team, what has pep won elsewher and as any football fan would agree, pep was never a leader in the same capacity as Sir Alex
     
     
     
    • KAPIL KUMAR SOPORY
    •  
    • COMPANY SECRETARY, SMEC(INDIA) PRIVATE LIMITED
    Sir Alex is a fascinating character from whose life one can learn a lot. His organisational and managerial skill have kept him going and progressing for over quarter of a century. Tirelessness is a key ingredient. Then his skills of teaching and grooming young ones. He has full control of what he does and his focussed message " Manager should never lose contr0l" is pointer to what ultimately managers should have in their psyche.
     
     
     
    • NKULULEKO MOYO
    •  
    • FINANCE AND OPERATIONS COORDINATOR, KHULA SIZWE TRUST
    Am a hard core Manchester United fan. One thing that amazes me about Sir Ferguson is how he manages to draw out his team from trouble, either during a match or during a season.
     
     
     
    • ALI RAZA
    •  
    • STUDENT AFFAIRS, IB&M UET LAHORE PAKISTAN
    I really enjoyed the way you demonstrated Sir Alex's acheivements through is passion to educate the young one's and maintaining the existing one's.
    It's a true success story which anyone would love to be aware of.
     
     
     
    • ROBERT
    •  
    • FOUNDER, WWW.FOOTBALLMARKETING.BIZ
    This is great information indeed. There is something unique about this man, he combines youth and experience with great dexterity.
    Robert Founder www.footballmarketing.biz
     
     
     
    • TOLULOPE POPOOLA
    •  
    Absolutely commendable! Without doubt, SAF is a manager of uncommon ability and HBS a school of unusual ideas. Its brilliant to find a nexus for the benefit of posterity.
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    Sir Alex is one of my heros. He has done a t remendous job.It will not be surpassed in our lifetime as managers of football clubs these days last for very short periods for various reasons. He has built on the tradition of United and created a world leader in many respects. Again he is open to new ideas and is willing to take calulated risks. That is one of his great strengths. He also is a superb motivator.
     
     
     
    • MICHAEL
    •  
    • ACADEMIC DIRECTOR, SMU
    Will there be a teaching note or video interview footage available for faculty? Thank you.
     
     
     
    • MIKAIL CONYBEARE
    •  
    • OPERATIONS DIRECTOR, HUBCLOUD
    Fantastic insight on elite leadership over such a long period of time. Leadership at that level, whether sports or business, shares so many characteristics. Also worth reiterating that whilst being so successful he was also able to adapt and change his methods and approaches, key to his longevity I suspect. I would be very interested to hear which business owners he is similar to.
    Thank you for the great article
     
     
     
    • RAS SOLEBO
    •  
    • CISM, GREATER PHILLY
    In my opinion, what sets the likes of Sir Alex apart goes beyond their laurel accomplishments! It is their focus, their leadership, management style and longevity in continuously handling the powder keg that is the ego of the stars they manage. Definitely a subject worth studying. Go Red Devils!
     
     
     
    • GOVINDA PATTEN
    •  
    • ASSESSOR/ ACTIVITY COORDINATOR, GOLD CARE
    I still remember when Sir Alex took over as Manager and I am a fan of the team as well. I am in fact from Mauritius and would have dream to study in such a prestigious organisation but I have completed my MBA at Wales University. I should say if I had the money I would really spend one day visiting Harvard University and I pray that one day one of my kids be able to live that dream. My parents were teachers. I have to say congratulations to Harvard University Professor, Anita Elberse, that research will help understanding about combination of Managerial style. Well Done Professor, I will definitely try to buy this manual.
     
     
     
    • ARPIT GOYAL
    •  
    • STUDENT, BITS PILANI, INDIA
    As usual people are discussing "Manutd" and doing all the sad comparisons. Moving on, "Sir Alex" is in a true sense a formidable leader in "football" industry and has groomed and lead players to attain higher aims in his so long running career.
    I strongly believe that most of the "Business Consultancies" are doing the same kind of stuff i.e nurturing corporate leaders and helping their firms around the globe thus leading them to achieve both social and economic development. I also think our "Education" system also has much to learn from "sports" in the way they nurture top quality players and generate leaders, generation after generations. And we esp. "developing countries" are unable to do the same, even after being so resourceful in terms of technology.
    Therefore, such kind of case studies/interviews should be done more often as it is very interesting, motivational and fun to read.
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    Sir Alex is a legend, I have worries if there could another Sir Alex in the soccer enterprise. His talent is a brand tough to be replicated. I wish him well. The author has done great job to bring this public domain.
     
     
     
    • MIR DOST
    •  
    • STUDENT, ASIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (AIT) THAILAND
    Ingredient behind strings of successes seems Sir Alex Ferguson's own set rules, stickiness and providing a family atmosphere at club where everyone felt it home rather job and most importantly, he did not let any player to become bigger than club.
    Nice case, Harvard is always with nice stuff.
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    we can't compare sir alex ferguson with pep guardiola,pep guardiola team is a world cup winners +lionel messi,currently the best available in the world
     
     
     





How to Spot a Liar

13 MAY 2013  RESEARCH & IDEAS

How to Spot a Liar





Key linguistic cues can help reveal dishonesty during business negotiations, whether it's a flat-out lie or a deliberate omission of key information, according to research by Lyn M. Van Swol, Michael T. Braun, and Deepak Malhotra.
 
Want to know if someone's lying to you? Telltale signs may include running of the mouth, an excessive use of third-person pronouns, and an increase in profanity.
These are among the findings of a recent experimental study that delves into the language of deception, detailed in the paper Evidence for the Pinocchio Effect: Linguistic Differences Between Lies, Deception by Omissions, and Truths, which was published in the journal Discourse Processes. Asked why the topic of deception is important to business research, negotiation expert Deepak Malhotra responds wryly: "As it turns out, some people will lie and cheat in business!"
Malhotra, the Eli Goldston Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School, coauthored the paper with Associate Professor Lyn M. Van Swol and doctoral candidate Michael T. Braun, both from the University of Wisconsin—Madison. "Most people admit to having lied in negotiations, and everyone believes they've been lied to in these contexts," Malhotra says. "We may be able to improve the situation if we can equip people to detect and deter the unethical behavior of others."
“JUST LIKE PINOCCHIO’S NOSE, THE NUMBER OF WORDS GREW ALONG WITH THE LIE”
"Evidence for the Pinocchio Effect" fills a key gap in the field of deception research, says Van Swol, the study's lead author. Previous studies have examined the linguistic differences between lies and truthful statements. But this one goes a step further to consider the differences between flat-out lying and so-called deception by omission—that is, the willful avoidance of divulging important information, either by changing the subject or by saying as little as possible.

THE ULTIMATUM GAME

To garner a sample of truth tellers, liars, and deceivers by omission, the researchers recruited 104 participants to play the ultimatum game, a popular tool among experimental economists. In the traditional version of the game, one player (the allocator) receives a sum of money and proposes how to divvy it up with a partner (the receiver). The receiver has the option of either accepting the proposed split or refusing the allocator's proposal—in which case neither player gets any of the money. Because receivers will often reject offers they perceive as unfair, leaving both parties with nothing, it behooves the allocator to offer an amount that will be deemed fair by the receiver. In many instances, allocators choose to share half, Malhotra says.
For the purposes of the deception experiment, the rules of the ultimatum game differed from the traditional version in three ways. First, in this version, the allocator received an endowment of either $30 or $5 to share with the receiver. The receiver had no way of verifying how much money the allocator had been given, information which the allocator was not required to divulge. Hence, an allocator could conceivably give the receiver $2 and keep $28, and the receiver would be none the wiser, perhaps assuming only $5 was in play. The second change was that if the receiver rejected the allocator's offer he or she would receive a default amount of $7.50 (or $1.25)—whereas the allocator would get no money at all.
Research shows that liars are wordier than truth tellers during negotiationsFinally, each game included two minutes of videotaped conversation in which the receiver could grill the allocator with questions, prior to deciding whether to accept or reject the offer. This provided ample opportunity for the allocator to tell the truth about the money, lie, or try to avoid the subject altogether. "We wanted to create a situation where people could choose to lie or not lie, and it would happen naturally," Van Swol says.
Ultimately, the receiver had to decide whether the proposed allocation was fair and honest, based only on a conversation with the allocator. Thus, it behooved the allocator to be either a fair person or a good liar.
As it turned out, 70 percent of the allocators were honest, telling the receivers the true amount of the endowment and/or offering them at least half of the pot. The remaining 30 percent of allocators were classified either as liars (meaning they flat-out lied about the amount of the endowment) or as deceivers by omission (meaning they evaded questions about the amount of the endowment, but ultimately offered the receiver less than half).
After a graduate student transcribed all the allocator/receiver conversations, the researchers carefully analyzed the linguistic content, comparing the truth tellers against the liars and deceivers in order to suss out cues for deception. They looked for both strategic and nonstrategic language cues.
"A strategic cue is a conscious strategy to reduce the likelihood of the deception being detected," Van Swol explains, "whereas a nonstrategic cue is an emotional response, and people aren't usually aware that they're doing it."

KEY FINDINGS: WORD COUNT, PROFANITY, AND PRONOUNS

In terms of strategic cues, the researchers discovered the following:
  • Bald-faced liars tended to use many more words during the ultimatum game than did truth tellers, presumably in an attempt to win over suspicious receivers. Van Swol dubbed this "the Pinocchio effect." "Just like Pinocchio's nose, the number of words grew along with the lie," she says.
  • Allocators who engaged in deception by omission, on the other hand, used fewer words and shorter sentences than truth tellers.
Among the findings related to nonstrategic cues:
  • On average, liars used more swear words than did truth tellers—especially in cases where the recipients voiced suspicion about the true amount of the endowment. "We think this may be due to the fact that it takes a lot of cognitive energy to lie," Van Swol says. "Using so much of your brain to lie may make it hard to monitor yourself in other areas."
  • Liars used far more third-person pronouns than truth tellers or omitters. "This is a way of distancing themselves from and avoiding ownership of the lie," Van Swol explains.
  • Liars spoke in more complex sentences than either omitters or truth tellers.
The researchers also examined when and whether the receivers trusted the allocators—noting instances when receivers voiced doubts about the allocators' statements, and correlating the various linguistic cues with the accuracy of the receivers' suspicions. They also noted instances in which receivers showed no suspicion toward deceivers.
On average, receivers tended to trust the bald-faced liars far more than they trusted the allocators who tried to deceive by omission. In short, relative silence garnered more suspicion than flat-out falsehoods. "It turns out that omission may be a terrible deception strategy," Van Swol says. "In terms of succeeding at the deception, it was more effective to outright lie. It's a more Machiavellian strategy, but it's more successful."

POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS

In the latest phase of their research, the team is investigating the linguistic differences between lying in person and lying via email. Results regarding the latter may be increasingly useful as a larger portion of business is now being conducted via email, and such communications leave a transcript that can be analyzed carefully—and at leisure—by suspicious counterparts. "People detect lies better over the computer than they do face-to-face," Van Swol says.
That said, the researchers are quick to emphasize that linguistic cues are most definitely not a foolproof method of detecting lies, even among those who are trained to look out for them.
"This is early stage research," Malhotra says. "As with any such work, it would be a mistake to take the findings as gospel and apply them too strictly. Rather, the factors we find to be associated with lies and deception are perhaps most useful as warning signs that should simply prompt greater vigilance and further investigation regarding the veracity of the people with whom we are dealing."
—To learn more about how to deal with liars during business negotiations, read Negotiation Genius: How to Overcome Obstacles and Achieve Brilliant Results at the Bargaining Table and Beyond by Deepak Malhotra and Max H. Bazerman. Follow Malhotra on Twitter at @Prof_Malhotra. 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Carmen Nobel is senior editor of Harvard Business School Working Knowledge.



COMMENTS

    • ELLEN NAYLOR
    •  
    • PRESIDENT, THE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE SOURCE
    This is interesting research to observe when people are lying to you in all forms of communication. I have been interviewing people for over 20 years. If you probe more deeply when you suspect they're lying, Pinocchio's nose gets longer if they are, since it's usually hard to keep lying. People also lie when they're trying to help you or because they're too embarrassed to say they don't know for fear they'll look uninformed. The same thing happens in written communication: it's just human nature.
     
     
     
    • IVAN BLANCO
    •  
    • LEGAL ADVISER, I.C.E. - COSTA RICA
    The verbal elloquence that liars portray reminds me of the Bible (book of Proverbs, Chapter 10 verse 19, KJV) which states: "In the multitude of words there wanteth not sin: but he that refraineth his lips is wise.". With regard to the opposite (ibidem, Chapter 17 verse 28, KJV), it also states: "Even a fool, when he holdeth his peace, is counted wise: and he that shutteth his lips is esteemed a man of understanding.". It`s indeed appealing to see yet another example of scientific work pointing towards confirmation of the words of the Bible, which undoubtely should be read and studied more by wisdom-seeking negotiators.
     
     
     
    • ROS
    •  
    • ENGINEER, CITY
    Stated a long time ago: "Me thinks thou dost protest too much!"
     
     
     
    • MARK WILSON
    •  
    • PRINCIPAL, M. H. WILSON & ASSOCIATES
    Excellent study. Certainly look forward as more results come to to light. It would also be interesting to address continued research in political responses instead of only business conversations.
     
     
     
    • CHARLES A. QUARCOO
    •  
    • EXECUTIVE SECRETARY, ELCS
    I agree with your write up and want to indicate the liars continue to lie to protect the lies that they want others to believe. We must be extra careful when dealing with people when we suspect they are liars.
     
     
     
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    I think there's an interesting correlation with the advice a mentor gave me when I was giving briefings to our government contract monitors. His advice was to first answer the question (perhaps even just a simple yes/no or number) and then, if needed (by the reaction of the questioner), launch into the explanation. Aside from saving time, this approach helps you avoid looking like you are trying to hide something.
    You know when a politician is being less than candid when, after a simple yes/no question has been asked, they don't start their response with either "yes" or "no", as in Q: "Do you support the XYZ bill?" A: "The problem of [insert issue here] is wide spread. I've worked tirelessly...."
     
     
     
    • IAN WELSH
    •  
    • WRITER/EDITOR
    Interesting. It's worth remembering you need the baseline: research has shown, for example, that people who swear habitually (as opposed to swearing more) are more honest.
     
     
     
    • MARK CALONICO
    •  
    • DIRECTOR, SACRAMENTO COUNTY OFFICE OF EDUCATION
    And I think of my days as a school principal investigating various situations, especially with the omitters. Many of my colleagues would find this interesting research to keep in the back of their minds when dealing with students, parents, and other staff.
     
     
     
    • YIGA BENON
    •  
    • TOWN CLERK /CITY MANAGER, IGANGA MUNICIPAL COUNCIL UGANDA
    Am so grateful that i have also read this nice and educative article. It just happened to me this week on monday during the weekly management meeting. Profanity was evident in one of the members of the senior management team who we suspected of causing us trouble. Now i know though requires diligence to notice it.
     
     
     
    • JAMES POLICHAK
    •  
    • ATTORNEY AND COGNITIVE SCIENTIST, PRIVATE PRACTICE
    It is very important to put this research into its proper context.
    There has been several decades of research into deception detection, and virtually no evidence that any particular group - even those who specialize in questioning people, such as the police, FBI, and other law enforcement officials - can reliably detect deception when the full range of outcomes is analyzed. Same with professionals such as judges or doctors.
    What this means is that there is a high rate of false positives - thinking someone is lying when they are not - and a high rate of false negatives - failure to detect a liar - in addition to successful identifications of liars and truth-tellers. When all possibilities are considered, performance is almost always no better than random chance (I think that there was evidence that trained and experienced CIA operatives performed better than chance).
    On the other hand, many people think that they can spot a liar, and are highly confident in their false belief.
    The present study does not change this. It provides correlates of lying vs truth-telling in a particular situation. This situation is low-stakes and of low resemblance to real world situations, where deceivers often have the advantage of preparing themselves to be deceptive and know who they will be attempting to deceive.
    There is also a conflict between the research findings and real-world business negotiations.
    In real-world negotiations, the negotiators are more likely to be representing organizations than merely themselves. Use of third-person pronouns would be expected to increase as the organization may be referred to as "they" or "it".
    And complex negotiations naturally lend themselves to complex sentence structures. Those who are experienced negotiators also likely have their use of profanity under control. Or they may use it as a negotiation tool.
    Omissions would also be expected, as no one is going to come right out and say "this is the minimum acceptable to my client" as that would result in the client getting the minimum. Similarly, it is common to say things like "my client can't accept that offer" when the offer may be accepted if it is the only way to make a deal.
    As one of the other commenters said, it is important to remember the baseline. That baseline is that people think that they are better at detecting deception than they really are.
    People remember the positive examples, such as when they suspect deception and engage in further probing questions to reveal the deception. They tend to not think of the false positives, when they engaged in further questioning and decided that someone was not a liar. And even here, they might be wrong - the liar may have successfully responded to the additional questioning. In this case, false confidence may be strengthened - this person can't be lying because I have probed them, and they showed no sign of deception.
    They cannot know when they experienced a false negative - when a liar was so successful that they never suspected deception at all.
    They also may not be able to determine if they had a false positive, believing someone to be a liar when they are not, as this would require evidence beyond the interrogation to verify that the person was deceptive. In a law enforcement situation, evidence may exist. In a business negotiation, it may be impossible to obtain evidence of deception. Or it may only be possible to decide someone was deceptive after a deal has been made, perhaps long after a deal was made.
     
     
     
    • JAMES POLICHAK
    •  
    • ATTORNEY AND COGNITIVE SCIENTIST, PRIVATE PRACTICE
    It's also rather amusing that along with this article, one of the most popular articles is "Power Posing: Faking It Until You Make It".
    Highly popular even though it was published in 2010, this article provides instructions on how to use body language as a means of influencing others to accept one's desires, whether deserved or not.
    As this article reports, "People often are more influenced by how they feel about you than by what you're saying. It's not about the content of the message, but how you're communicating it."
    And that is how you improve your chances to cause a false negative result regarding your deception.
     
     
     





Power Posing: Fake It Until You Make It

20 SEP 2010  RESEARCH & IDEAS

Power Posing: Fake It Until You Make It





Nervous about an upcoming presentation or job interview? Holding one's body in "high-power" poses for short time periods can summon an extra surge of power and sense of well-being when it's needed, according to Harvard Business School professor Amy J.C. Cuddy. Key concepts include:
  • Holding one's body in expansive, "high-power" poses for as little as two minutes stimulates higher levels of testosterone and lower levels of cortisol.
  • In addition to causing hormonal shifts, power poses lead to increased feelings of power and a greater tolerance for risk.
  • People often are more influenced by how they feel about you than by what you're saying.
  • The research has broad implications for people who suffer from feelings of powerlessness and low self-esteem due to their hierarchical rank or lack of resources.
We can't be the alpha dog all of the time. Whatever our personality, most of us experience varying degrees of feeling in charge. Some situations take us down a notch while others build us up.
New research shows that it's possible to control those feelings a bit more, to be able to summon an extra surge of power and sense of well-being when it's needed: for example, during a job interview or for a key presentation to a group of skeptical customers.
"Our research has broad implications for people who suffer from feelings of powerlessness and low self-esteem due to their hierarchical rank or lack of resources," says HBS assistant professor Amy J.C. Cuddy, one of the researchers on the study.
“IT’S NOT ABOUT THE CONTENT OF THE MESSAGE, BUT HOW YOU’RE COMMUNICATING IT.”
In "Power Posing: Brief Nonverbal Displays Affect Neuroendocrine Levels and Risk Tolerance", Cuddy shows that simply holding one's body in expansive, "high-power" poses for as little as two minutes stimulates higher levels of testosterone (the hormone linked to power and dominance in the animal and human worlds) and lower levels of cortisol (the "stress" hormone that can, over time, cause impaired immune functioning, hypertension, and memory loss).
The result? In addition to causing the desired hormonal shift, the power poses led to increased feelings of power and a greater tolerance for risk.
"We used to think that emotion ended on the face," Cuddy says. "Now there is established research showing that while it's true that facial expressions reflect how you feel, you can also 'fake it until you make it.' In other words, you can smile long enough that it makes you feel happy. This work extends that finding on facial feedback, which is decades old, by focusing on postures and measuring neuroendocrine levels."

THE EXPERIMENT

In their article, to be published in a forthcoming Psychological Science, Cuddy and coauthors Dana R. Carney and Andy J. Yap of Columbia University detail the results of an experiment in which forty-two male and female participants were randomly assigned to a high- or low-power pose group. No one was told what the study was about; instead, each participant believed it was related to the placement of ECG electrodes above and below his or her heart.
Subjects in the high-power group were manipulated into two expansive poses for one minute each: first, the classic feet on desk, hands behind head; then, standing and leaning on one's hands over a desk. Those in the low-power group were posed for the time period in two restrictive poses: sitting in a chair with arms held close and hands folded, and standing with arms and legs crossed tightly. Saliva samples taken before and after the posing measured testosterone and cortisol levels. To evaluate risk tolerance, participants were given $2 and told they could roll a die for even odds of winning $4. Finally, participants were asked to indicate how "powerful" and "in charge" they felt on a scale from one to four.
Controlling for subjects' baseline levels of both hormones, Cuddy and her coauthors found that high-power poses decreased cortisol by about 25 percent and increased testosterone by about 19 percent for both men and women. In contrast, low-power poses increased cortisol about 17 percent and decreased testosterone about 10 percent.
Not surprisingly, high-power posers of both sexes also reported greater feelings of being powerful and in charge. In addition, those in the high-power group were more likely to take the risk of gambling their $2; 86 percent rolled the die in the high-power group as opposed to 60 percent of the low-power posers.
Previous research established that situational role changes can cause shifts in hormone levels. In primate groups, for example, after an alpha male dies the testosterone levels of the animal replacing him go up. The hormonal shifts measured in this experiment show that such changes can be influenced independent of role, situation, or any consciously focused thoughts about power. The physical poses are enough.
And that, she suggests, has broad implications for people who suffer from feelings of powerlessness and low self-esteem due to their hierarchical rank or lack of resources.

WHY WE JUDGE

Cuddy's overall research agenda focuses on stereotyping and questions around how we form judgments of others' warmth and competence.
Just Because I'm Nice, Don't Assume I'm Dumb reveals how and why we come to snap judgments about coworkers (and how to fight that natural instinct). The article was cited as a "Breakthrough Business Idea" for 2009 by Harvard Business Review.
"The power poses paper came about in part because my coauthor Dana and I had noticed that women in our classes seemed to be participating less," says Cuddy, who teaches the MBA elective Power and Influence. "Some of the women exhibited body language associated with low power, so we wondered if that was in turn affecting how they feel," she adds, citing the "fake it till you make it" research that shows smiling can affect feelings and hormone levels.
“IT’S ABOUT UNDERSTANDING WHAT MOVES PEOPLE.”
"The poses that we used in the experiment are strongly associated across the animal kingdom with high and low dominance for very straightforward evolutionary reasons. Either you want to be big because you're in charge, or you want to close in and hide your vital organs because you're not in charge.
"It does appear that even this minimal manipulation can change people's physiology and psychology and, we hope, lead to very different, meaningful outcomes, whether it's how they perform in a job interview or how they participate in class."
Cuddy acknowledges that there are moderating factors in how easily some groups can use traditional power poses. It would run counter to social norms, for example, if a woman wearing a skirt sat with her feet up on her desk while talking to a colleague.
"I'm not saying it's fair, but there is a different range for women versus men," says Cuddy, who also teaches several HBS Executive Education programs.
Female managers seem to have an intuition about the need to communicate confidence by striking expansive poses through other means. They might use a whiteboard as a prop that they can reach out and rest a hand on—allowing them to take up more space.
"There are implications across cultures as well," she adds. Cuddy believes American poses are bigger and more flamboyant than what would be acceptable in Korea or Japan, for example, and expects to focus on this question in future research.

WARMTH VERSUS COMPETENCE

It ultimately boils down to how we connect to one another. In general, she says, people form impressions of others through a matrix of how much we trust and like them and how much we think they're competent and respect them.
For the most part people underestimate the powerful connection of warmth and overestimate the importance of competence.
"We are influenced, and influence others, through very unconscious and implicit processes," she says. "People tend to spend too much energy focusing on the words they're saying—perfectly crafting the content of the message—when in many cases that matters much less than how it's being communicated. People often are more influenced by how they feel about you than by what you're saying. It's not about the content of the message, but how you're communicating it.
"Many students believe that if they have a great idea, they should be able to magnetize their audience toward them because their audience will recognize the 'greatness' of that idea—that they'll get on board because the idea is so good," she continues. "I try to show students that it doesn't work that way—you have to go meet people where they are and then all move together. You have to connect with them before you can lead them."
If understanding how you are influenced and can influence others feels a bit too Machiavellian, Cuddy helps bring it down a notch.
"It's not about politics," she says. "It's about understanding what moves people." 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Julia Hanna is associate editor of the HBS Alumni Bulletin.


COMMENTS

    • JODELLE
    •  
    • EMPLOYEE SURVEY TOOLKIT
    Interesting research and findings! It never ceases to impress me how strong and fascinating human biology and will are, and the complexity of human relationships and communications.
    My favorite line has to be: "You have to connect with them before you can lead them." So many managers fail to realize this and use intimidation and fear to gain what they want, not realizing that a less aggressive, and even healthier manner of communication would be more helpful.
    I'm also very interested in the different ranges for men and women. Is it truly biological differences or learned, cultural dynamics that impose the difference in range? From your example, I'm guessing it's the latter. I look forward to reading about this in the future.
    • KAPIL KUMAR SOPORY
    •  
    • COMPANY SECRETARY, SMEC(INDIA) PRIVATE LIMITED
    We do come across persnalities who indulge in such faking games. The clever ones will satisfy you that they are right and, despite the contra logic in your nmind, you will be hypnotized to believe. Julia's analysis of causes leading to all this is a very focused indepth study. Her psyche analysis is commendable.
    • MARIANE DELLA ROCCA
    •  
    • HEAD OF MARKETING, PRESSMATRIX
    I find the research and its findings are extremely interesting.
    Confidence is an overarching topic and factor in management, as it affects perception (both yours and others of yourself and your work) and your actual work (productivity, effectiveness and creativity). In steep-learning phases, were it is critical to "take it all in", confidence is fragile but critical. Do you know more about that correlation?
    This also reminds me of one of my professors explaining how communication is 20% verbal and 80% body language. I don't know if the concept is still up-to-date (is it?) but yes, we think more of the words (content) in our messages, than the container. I suppose the latter requires a deeper change in ourselves.
    Your research gives extremely useful insights to directly and easily help improve the state of mind and influence motivation and results straight away. Thank you for sharing this.
    • NINA
    •  
    • DCS
    Check out this article - the last part in particular affirms the value of warmth vs. competence -- the power of the meet and greet when folks walk in the door.
    good stuff.
    • WAYNE HOSKING
    •  
    • PARTNER, CONSTRUCTION SYSTEMS GROUP, INC.
    Great article and great idea for research. I'm not totally surprised by the results - intuitively I know I have done these things successfully. Nevertheless, I can't help but find it a little disturbing. Maybe you should re-post that article about the relative value of decision-making "by the numbers" vs. decision-making by the "gut feeling." There may be a causal relationship here.
    • MANDY GEDDES
    •  
    • GENERAL MANAGER, EDUCATION, INSTITUTE OF EXECUTIVE COACHING AND LEADERSHIP
    This is fascinating stuff! I'm particularly intrigued as a former yoga teacher (current yoga student) because there are "power poses" in yoga (e.g. the warrior) that seem to literally make you feel stronger and braver. I now plan to spend a little time each day with my feet up on desk :-)
    • JOHN LAWRENCE
    •  
    • ADJ PROF, COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
    creative research and interesting findings... does anyone see the potential significance for recent US presidential election results? One nominee exhuded confidence, assertiveness and personal warmth, the other seemed unconvincing in all three... however we should not underestimate the importance (for students as well as politicians) of careful, substantive preparation and experience as strong underpinnings for sustained, rather than momentary confidence.
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    I remember as a young law associate that a coworker (female) came into my office, sat down in and put her feet up on my desk. I was so intimidated and felt she was way out of line. She had trained in acting as an undergrad, and perhaps she knew what you have demonstrated!
    The big PS is once we weren't working at that firm, we didn't feel so competitive towards each other (as law firm politics typically can make associates feel ). She was much more savvy to begin with, that is for sure!
    • LORI
    •  
    • KENNEDY, LOUISBOURG SEAFOODS LTD.
    I enjoyed the "Fake It Until You Make It" I had the privledge of having Professor Amy Cuddy at the Womens Leadership forum this past May.
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    It would be very interesting to see some research on how the different yoga posses alter different hormone levels and if the way they are combine make a difference in the results, i.e combining a warrior pose with a stretch, etc,.
    • VAGAL SS
    •  
    • SENIOR, GOVT
    yogis knew it long ago... manipulating the mind and brain through the body. Some poses and exercises are supposedly meant to create the appropriate moods such as confident, heroic, calm, focused, meditative, curative, heating/cooling the body parts, including stimulation of certain organs and glands..etc
    • VAGAL SS
    •  
    • SENIOR EXECUTIVE, GOVT
    The researcher may perhaps be aware of "Mudra yoga" where various "poses" of the fingers are supposed to create specific effects... i wonder whether there is any research to validate such claims...
    • VAGAL SS
    •  
    • SENIOR EXECUTIVE, GOVT.
    further to my comments..... do others read dominance from the stance or the smell of testosterone..?
    • VAGAL SS
    •  
    • SENIOR EXECUTIVE, GOVT.
    further to my observation of what the yogis knew...
    is there any research on whether doses of testosterone, perhaps elevating the level of testosterone in one higher than the others, can actually give dominance to a person in a situation..?
    • MAYA
    •  
    loved it!!!
    • MATHEW.V
    •  
    • SR.MGR, CONSULTING COMPANY
    Thank you for the insightful article. We are also dealing with lesser facetime interactions causing us to focus on the written content as opposed to the delivery.
    • ANONYMOUS
    •  
    At first glance, I think this is an incredibly great idea, and also could be an extension of Sheryl Sandberg's whole concept of "leaning in" for women. Men are extremely good at postering in the workplace and are better trained by the world to act like they know what they are talking about. Women would be wise to take a lesson from this. It goes hand in hand with leaning in.
    • SHARON MCCAMPBELL
    •  
    • OWNER/OPERATOR, BODY & SOUL FITNESS
    Thank you for the reinforcement of posture. For years I've touted good posture and confidence.
    You drove it home. I stand tall when I feel good and especially when I don't.
    It helps on one level and hurts on another. People tend to think I'm strong all the time and I'm not.